How the pollsters did in 2020 — Kiwiblog

PartyResultONCBNRRRMPollDiffMOEPollDiffMOEPollDiffMOELabour50.0%46.0%-4.0%No45.8%-4.2%No47.5%-2.5%YesNational25.6%31.0%5.4%No31.1%5.5%No28.5%2.9%NoGreens7.9%8.0%0.1%Yes6.3%-1.6%No9.5%1.6%YesACT7.6%8.0%0.4%Yes7.4%-0.2%Yes7.0%-0.6%YesMaori1.2%0.6%-0.6%No0.6%-0.6%No0.5%-0.7%NoNZ First2.6%2.6%0.0%Yes3.5%0.9%Yes2.5%-0.1%YesTOP1.5%1.1%-0.4%Yes1.3%-0.2%Yes1.5%0.0%YesNew Cons1.5%1.5%0.0%Yes1.7%0.2%YesAdvance1.0%0.9%-0.1%Yes0.3%-0.7%NoTotal Gap11.0%14.1%8.4%There were three pre-election public polls, from One News Colmar Brunton, Newshub Reid Research and Roy Morgan. With final results, we can now compare how they did. The table above shows the results, the poll, and the difference. The MOE column indicates whether the difference is within the 95% margin of error.…

via How the pollsters did in 2020 — Kiwiblog